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Why do falling prices hurt debtors?



The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are InWhy isn't there an “ideal value” for a given currency?What benefits does Bitcoin (i.e. cryptocurrency) offer?Why didn't the money printing by the US Federal Reserve since 2008 lead to inflation?Why does deflation cause banks to increase their interest rates?Why is deflation not considered the opposite of inflation?Why does falling global bond yields signal coming deflationWhy not just print money to combat deflation?Deflation and positive real interest rateWhy do central banks print money?Currencies fixed to gold










2












$begingroup$


The argument goes that if there is deflation, the real interest rate rises, and so the burden on debtors increase (Paul Krugman says so in https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/08/02/why-is-deflation-bad/).



I understand why the real rate rises, since $r = i - pi$, but why does that mean there's more of a "burden" on debtors?



If I take out a loan for 1000 dollars today, and have to pay it back a year from now, why would it affect me negatively if suddenly everything became cheaper? Sure, the money I'd be paying back (1000 dollars + interest) is "worth more", in the sense of being able to buy more stuff, but ... so what? Those 1000 dollars + interest had to be paid back no matter what. Who cares if its "worth more"? It's not my money anyways, and is due to be paid back? How exactly has my "burden" increased?










share|improve this question









New contributor




Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.







$endgroup$
















    2












    $begingroup$


    The argument goes that if there is deflation, the real interest rate rises, and so the burden on debtors increase (Paul Krugman says so in https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/08/02/why-is-deflation-bad/).



    I understand why the real rate rises, since $r = i - pi$, but why does that mean there's more of a "burden" on debtors?



    If I take out a loan for 1000 dollars today, and have to pay it back a year from now, why would it affect me negatively if suddenly everything became cheaper? Sure, the money I'd be paying back (1000 dollars + interest) is "worth more", in the sense of being able to buy more stuff, but ... so what? Those 1000 dollars + interest had to be paid back no matter what. Who cares if its "worth more"? It's not my money anyways, and is due to be paid back? How exactly has my "burden" increased?










    share|improve this question









    New contributor




    Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
    Check out our Code of Conduct.







    $endgroup$














      2












      2








      2


      1



      $begingroup$


      The argument goes that if there is deflation, the real interest rate rises, and so the burden on debtors increase (Paul Krugman says so in https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/08/02/why-is-deflation-bad/).



      I understand why the real rate rises, since $r = i - pi$, but why does that mean there's more of a "burden" on debtors?



      If I take out a loan for 1000 dollars today, and have to pay it back a year from now, why would it affect me negatively if suddenly everything became cheaper? Sure, the money I'd be paying back (1000 dollars + interest) is "worth more", in the sense of being able to buy more stuff, but ... so what? Those 1000 dollars + interest had to be paid back no matter what. Who cares if its "worth more"? It's not my money anyways, and is due to be paid back? How exactly has my "burden" increased?










      share|improve this question









      New contributor




      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.







      $endgroup$




      The argument goes that if there is deflation, the real interest rate rises, and so the burden on debtors increase (Paul Krugman says so in https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/08/02/why-is-deflation-bad/).



      I understand why the real rate rises, since $r = i - pi$, but why does that mean there's more of a "burden" on debtors?



      If I take out a loan for 1000 dollars today, and have to pay it back a year from now, why would it affect me negatively if suddenly everything became cheaper? Sure, the money I'd be paying back (1000 dollars + interest) is "worth more", in the sense of being able to buy more stuff, but ... so what? Those 1000 dollars + interest had to be paid back no matter what. Who cares if its "worth more"? It's not my money anyways, and is due to be paid back? How exactly has my "burden" increased?







      deflation






      share|improve this question









      New contributor




      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.











      share|improve this question









      New contributor




      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.









      share|improve this question




      share|improve this question








      edited Apr 6 at 18:41









      Brian Romanchuk

      3,9721316




      3,9721316






      New contributor




      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
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      asked Apr 6 at 17:23









      KastrupKastrup

      111




      111




      New contributor




      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.





      New contributor





      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.






      Kastrup is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
      Check out our Code of Conduct.




















          4 Answers
          4






          active

          oldest

          votes


















          4












          $begingroup$

          If the borrower is a firm, lower prices means your output is selling for less, so you need to sell more units in order to repay the debt (assuming a constant profit margin).



          For an individual, the buried assumption is that wages are also falling in the deflation. In which case, the debt is increasing relative to your wages. However, if your wages have not fallen, falling prices will make it easier for you to repay the debt (you can consume the same amount, and have more money left over to repay debt).



          It makes more sense at the macro level, as deflation is normally associated with lower growth and a higher unemployment rate.






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$












          • $begingroup$
            The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
            $endgroup$
            – Kastrup
            Apr 6 at 20:52











          • $begingroup$
            @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
            $endgroup$
            – chrylis
            Apr 6 at 20:58










          • $begingroup$
            Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
            $endgroup$
            – Kastrup
            Apr 6 at 22:09











          • $begingroup$
            The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
            $endgroup$
            – Brian Romanchuk
            Apr 6 at 23:00










          • $begingroup$
            @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
            $endgroup$
            – Kenny LJ
            Apr 7 at 1:38


















          2












          $begingroup$

          On 1st Jan 2020, D borrows $1000 from C for one year. (So, D must repay C $1000 on 1st Jan 2021.)



          Suppose that apples are the only good that is produced and consumed, and that on 1st Jan 2020, the price of each apple is $1. Then D has borrowed the equivalent of 1000 apples from C.



          Suppose there is 50% deflation over the course of 2020, so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $0.50. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $0.50 = 2000 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone up.




          (Conversely, suppose there is 100% inflation over the course of 2020 so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $2. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $2 = 500 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone down.)






          share|improve this answer









          $endgroup$




















            1












            $begingroup$

            In economics, the "cost" of A is ultimately the value of what you could have had if you hadn't gotten A. If you take out a loan of $1000 in 2018 and owe $1100 in 2019, then the cost of the loan is whatever $1100 buys in 2019. If it buys more in 2019, then the cost has gone up.






            share|improve this answer









            $endgroup$




















              0












              $begingroup$

              Another reason it can hurt debtors is if the debt is secured, meaning that there is an asset held against paying the debt. If you want to sell the asset, you find that its price fell (deflation). So it may not cover the debt.



              A recent concrete example was in the United States (and other countries) in 2008. Housing prices fell. This left mortgages underwater, meaning that selling the house would not pay off the debt. People would lose the entire value of the house in foreclosure but still have left over debt.



              Beyond this, even with unsecured loans, you might want to sell off assets to pay debt. But in deflation, the assets themselves have lost value.



              It also may be difficult for wages to fall in deflation. But consider that wages falling can be better than the alternative: layoffs. A lower wage is often better than no wage. And in deflationary periods, layoffs are more likely than normal. Because the contracted wages may be too expensive to pay or simply because there is insufficient demand. And having to make debt payments with no income is itself difficult, making those debt holders much worse off.



              Another way wages can fall is that hours might decrease. So your rate stays the same, but you get it for fewer hours, making your paycheck smaller.



              That's a problem with deflation. It makes some people effectively richer (same income but lower expenses), but it makes a lot of people effectively poorer. This is particularly bad for debt holders, as the loan price often doesn't decrease (variable rate mortgages are an example of an exception).



              If your source of income stays the same, then yes, it makes no difference to your debt (and lower consumption costs may leave you with more money to pay off the debt). But for many people, income does not stay the same. For those people, the debt becomes harder to service. So on average over all debt holders, the debt becomes harder to service.






              share|improve this answer









              $endgroup$













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                4 Answers
                4






                active

                oldest

                votes








                4 Answers
                4






                active

                oldest

                votes









                active

                oldest

                votes






                active

                oldest

                votes









                4












                $begingroup$

                If the borrower is a firm, lower prices means your output is selling for less, so you need to sell more units in order to repay the debt (assuming a constant profit margin).



                For an individual, the buried assumption is that wages are also falling in the deflation. In which case, the debt is increasing relative to your wages. However, if your wages have not fallen, falling prices will make it easier for you to repay the debt (you can consume the same amount, and have more money left over to repay debt).



                It makes more sense at the macro level, as deflation is normally associated with lower growth and a higher unemployment rate.






                share|improve this answer









                $endgroup$












                • $begingroup$
                  The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 20:52











                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
                  $endgroup$
                  – chrylis
                  Apr 6 at 20:58










                • $begingroup$
                  Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 22:09











                • $begingroup$
                  The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Brian Romanchuk
                  Apr 6 at 23:00










                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kenny LJ
                  Apr 7 at 1:38















                4












                $begingroup$

                If the borrower is a firm, lower prices means your output is selling for less, so you need to sell more units in order to repay the debt (assuming a constant profit margin).



                For an individual, the buried assumption is that wages are also falling in the deflation. In which case, the debt is increasing relative to your wages. However, if your wages have not fallen, falling prices will make it easier for you to repay the debt (you can consume the same amount, and have more money left over to repay debt).



                It makes more sense at the macro level, as deflation is normally associated with lower growth and a higher unemployment rate.






                share|improve this answer









                $endgroup$












                • $begingroup$
                  The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 20:52











                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
                  $endgroup$
                  – chrylis
                  Apr 6 at 20:58










                • $begingroup$
                  Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 22:09











                • $begingroup$
                  The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Brian Romanchuk
                  Apr 6 at 23:00










                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kenny LJ
                  Apr 7 at 1:38













                4












                4








                4





                $begingroup$

                If the borrower is a firm, lower prices means your output is selling for less, so you need to sell more units in order to repay the debt (assuming a constant profit margin).



                For an individual, the buried assumption is that wages are also falling in the deflation. In which case, the debt is increasing relative to your wages. However, if your wages have not fallen, falling prices will make it easier for you to repay the debt (you can consume the same amount, and have more money left over to repay debt).



                It makes more sense at the macro level, as deflation is normally associated with lower growth and a higher unemployment rate.






                share|improve this answer









                $endgroup$



                If the borrower is a firm, lower prices means your output is selling for less, so you need to sell more units in order to repay the debt (assuming a constant profit margin).



                For an individual, the buried assumption is that wages are also falling in the deflation. In which case, the debt is increasing relative to your wages. However, if your wages have not fallen, falling prices will make it easier for you to repay the debt (you can consume the same amount, and have more money left over to repay debt).



                It makes more sense at the macro level, as deflation is normally associated with lower growth and a higher unemployment rate.







                share|improve this answer












                share|improve this answer



                share|improve this answer










                answered Apr 6 at 18:51









                Brian RomanchukBrian Romanchuk

                3,9721316




                3,9721316











                • $begingroup$
                  The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 20:52











                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
                  $endgroup$
                  – chrylis
                  Apr 6 at 20:58










                • $begingroup$
                  Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 22:09











                • $begingroup$
                  The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Brian Romanchuk
                  Apr 6 at 23:00










                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kenny LJ
                  Apr 7 at 1:38
















                • $begingroup$
                  The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 20:52











                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
                  $endgroup$
                  – chrylis
                  Apr 6 at 20:58










                • $begingroup$
                  Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kastrup
                  Apr 6 at 22:09











                • $begingroup$
                  The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Brian Romanchuk
                  Apr 6 at 23:00










                • $begingroup$
                  @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
                  $endgroup$
                  – Kenny LJ
                  Apr 7 at 1:38















                $begingroup$
                The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
                $endgroup$
                – Kastrup
                Apr 6 at 20:52





                $begingroup$
                The same article by Krugman mentions that wages don't fall due to downwards rigidity, so that can't be the buried assumption (at least not his).
                $endgroup$
                – Kastrup
                Apr 6 at 20:52













                $begingroup$
                @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
                $endgroup$
                – chrylis
                Apr 6 at 20:58




                $begingroup$
                @Kastrup Krugman is not universally acclaimed for his consistent reasoning.
                $endgroup$
                – chrylis
                Apr 6 at 20:58












                $begingroup$
                Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
                $endgroup$
                – Kastrup
                Apr 6 at 22:09





                $begingroup$
                Krugman is not making both these arguments, so not sure why he should be accused of being inconsistent. He's only inconsistent if he agrees with the argument by Brian. And either way, I still don't understand the argument. Even if wages do fall, since prices are falling as well, my real wage may have increased (which would be especially true if my wage shows greater rigidity than the prices, as one might expect), so how could that possibly increase my debt burden?
                $endgroup$
                – Kastrup
                Apr 6 at 22:09













                $begingroup$
                The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
                $endgroup$
                – Brian Romanchuk
                Apr 6 at 23:00




                $begingroup$
                The burden increase is the rise in the ratio of debt to income. Also, I don’t think Krugman’s argument is what you think. The rigidity means that there is a need for mass unemployment to get a fall in wages, as opposed to less effort needed for inflation. That is, wages do fall, and you need a lot of unemployment to get there. He’s not particularly clear on that front.
                $endgroup$
                – Brian Romanchuk
                Apr 6 at 23:00












                $begingroup$
                @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
                $endgroup$
                – Kenny LJ
                Apr 7 at 1:38




                $begingroup$
                @Kastrup: Krugman does say that there is downward nominal wage ridigity. This means that it's difficult for nominal wages to fall, but not that it's impossible. Here is his exact quote: in a deflationary economy, wages as well as prices often have to fall – and it’s a fact of life that it’s very hard to cut nominal wages — there’s downward nominal wage rigidity. What this means is that in general economies don’t manage to have falling wages unless they also have mass unemployment, so that workers are desperate enough to accept those wage declines.
                $endgroup$
                – Kenny LJ
                Apr 7 at 1:38











                2












                $begingroup$

                On 1st Jan 2020, D borrows $1000 from C for one year. (So, D must repay C $1000 on 1st Jan 2021.)



                Suppose that apples are the only good that is produced and consumed, and that on 1st Jan 2020, the price of each apple is $1. Then D has borrowed the equivalent of 1000 apples from C.



                Suppose there is 50% deflation over the course of 2020, so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $0.50. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $0.50 = 2000 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone up.




                (Conversely, suppose there is 100% inflation over the course of 2020 so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $2. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $2 = 500 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone down.)






                share|improve this answer









                $endgroup$

















                  2












                  $begingroup$

                  On 1st Jan 2020, D borrows $1000 from C for one year. (So, D must repay C $1000 on 1st Jan 2021.)



                  Suppose that apples are the only good that is produced and consumed, and that on 1st Jan 2020, the price of each apple is $1. Then D has borrowed the equivalent of 1000 apples from C.



                  Suppose there is 50% deflation over the course of 2020, so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $0.50. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $0.50 = 2000 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone up.




                  (Conversely, suppose there is 100% inflation over the course of 2020 so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $2. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $2 = 500 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone down.)






                  share|improve this answer









                  $endgroup$















                    2












                    2








                    2





                    $begingroup$

                    On 1st Jan 2020, D borrows $1000 from C for one year. (So, D must repay C $1000 on 1st Jan 2021.)



                    Suppose that apples are the only good that is produced and consumed, and that on 1st Jan 2020, the price of each apple is $1. Then D has borrowed the equivalent of 1000 apples from C.



                    Suppose there is 50% deflation over the course of 2020, so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $0.50. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $0.50 = 2000 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone up.




                    (Conversely, suppose there is 100% inflation over the course of 2020 so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $2. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $2 = 500 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone down.)






                    share|improve this answer









                    $endgroup$



                    On 1st Jan 2020, D borrows $1000 from C for one year. (So, D must repay C $1000 on 1st Jan 2021.)



                    Suppose that apples are the only good that is produced and consumed, and that on 1st Jan 2020, the price of each apple is $1. Then D has borrowed the equivalent of 1000 apples from C.



                    Suppose there is 50% deflation over the course of 2020, so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $0.50. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $0.50 = 2000 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone up.




                    (Conversely, suppose there is 100% inflation over the course of 2020 so that on 1st Jan 2021, the price of each apple is $2. Then D, who must still repay $1000, must repay the equivalent of $1000 ÷ $2 = 500 apples. The cost of D's debt has gone down.)







                    share|improve this answer












                    share|improve this answer



                    share|improve this answer










                    answered Apr 7 at 2:08









                    Kenny LJKenny LJ

                    6,21321946




                    6,21321946





















                        1












                        $begingroup$

                        In economics, the "cost" of A is ultimately the value of what you could have had if you hadn't gotten A. If you take out a loan of $1000 in 2018 and owe $1100 in 2019, then the cost of the loan is whatever $1100 buys in 2019. If it buys more in 2019, then the cost has gone up.






                        share|improve this answer









                        $endgroup$

















                          1












                          $begingroup$

                          In economics, the "cost" of A is ultimately the value of what you could have had if you hadn't gotten A. If you take out a loan of $1000 in 2018 and owe $1100 in 2019, then the cost of the loan is whatever $1100 buys in 2019. If it buys more in 2019, then the cost has gone up.






                          share|improve this answer









                          $endgroup$















                            1












                            1








                            1





                            $begingroup$

                            In economics, the "cost" of A is ultimately the value of what you could have had if you hadn't gotten A. If you take out a loan of $1000 in 2018 and owe $1100 in 2019, then the cost of the loan is whatever $1100 buys in 2019. If it buys more in 2019, then the cost has gone up.






                            share|improve this answer









                            $endgroup$



                            In economics, the "cost" of A is ultimately the value of what you could have had if you hadn't gotten A. If you take out a loan of $1000 in 2018 and owe $1100 in 2019, then the cost of the loan is whatever $1100 buys in 2019. If it buys more in 2019, then the cost has gone up.







                            share|improve this answer












                            share|improve this answer



                            share|improve this answer










                            answered Apr 6 at 23:49









                            AcccumulationAcccumulation

                            28215




                            28215





















                                0












                                $begingroup$

                                Another reason it can hurt debtors is if the debt is secured, meaning that there is an asset held against paying the debt. If you want to sell the asset, you find that its price fell (deflation). So it may not cover the debt.



                                A recent concrete example was in the United States (and other countries) in 2008. Housing prices fell. This left mortgages underwater, meaning that selling the house would not pay off the debt. People would lose the entire value of the house in foreclosure but still have left over debt.



                                Beyond this, even with unsecured loans, you might want to sell off assets to pay debt. But in deflation, the assets themselves have lost value.



                                It also may be difficult for wages to fall in deflation. But consider that wages falling can be better than the alternative: layoffs. A lower wage is often better than no wage. And in deflationary periods, layoffs are more likely than normal. Because the contracted wages may be too expensive to pay or simply because there is insufficient demand. And having to make debt payments with no income is itself difficult, making those debt holders much worse off.



                                Another way wages can fall is that hours might decrease. So your rate stays the same, but you get it for fewer hours, making your paycheck smaller.



                                That's a problem with deflation. It makes some people effectively richer (same income but lower expenses), but it makes a lot of people effectively poorer. This is particularly bad for debt holders, as the loan price often doesn't decrease (variable rate mortgages are an example of an exception).



                                If your source of income stays the same, then yes, it makes no difference to your debt (and lower consumption costs may leave you with more money to pay off the debt). But for many people, income does not stay the same. For those people, the debt becomes harder to service. So on average over all debt holders, the debt becomes harder to service.






                                share|improve this answer









                                $endgroup$

















                                  0












                                  $begingroup$

                                  Another reason it can hurt debtors is if the debt is secured, meaning that there is an asset held against paying the debt. If you want to sell the asset, you find that its price fell (deflation). So it may not cover the debt.



                                  A recent concrete example was in the United States (and other countries) in 2008. Housing prices fell. This left mortgages underwater, meaning that selling the house would not pay off the debt. People would lose the entire value of the house in foreclosure but still have left over debt.



                                  Beyond this, even with unsecured loans, you might want to sell off assets to pay debt. But in deflation, the assets themselves have lost value.



                                  It also may be difficult for wages to fall in deflation. But consider that wages falling can be better than the alternative: layoffs. A lower wage is often better than no wage. And in deflationary periods, layoffs are more likely than normal. Because the contracted wages may be too expensive to pay or simply because there is insufficient demand. And having to make debt payments with no income is itself difficult, making those debt holders much worse off.



                                  Another way wages can fall is that hours might decrease. So your rate stays the same, but you get it for fewer hours, making your paycheck smaller.



                                  That's a problem with deflation. It makes some people effectively richer (same income but lower expenses), but it makes a lot of people effectively poorer. This is particularly bad for debt holders, as the loan price often doesn't decrease (variable rate mortgages are an example of an exception).



                                  If your source of income stays the same, then yes, it makes no difference to your debt (and lower consumption costs may leave you with more money to pay off the debt). But for many people, income does not stay the same. For those people, the debt becomes harder to service. So on average over all debt holders, the debt becomes harder to service.






                                  share|improve this answer









                                  $endgroup$















                                    0












                                    0








                                    0





                                    $begingroup$

                                    Another reason it can hurt debtors is if the debt is secured, meaning that there is an asset held against paying the debt. If you want to sell the asset, you find that its price fell (deflation). So it may not cover the debt.



                                    A recent concrete example was in the United States (and other countries) in 2008. Housing prices fell. This left mortgages underwater, meaning that selling the house would not pay off the debt. People would lose the entire value of the house in foreclosure but still have left over debt.



                                    Beyond this, even with unsecured loans, you might want to sell off assets to pay debt. But in deflation, the assets themselves have lost value.



                                    It also may be difficult for wages to fall in deflation. But consider that wages falling can be better than the alternative: layoffs. A lower wage is often better than no wage. And in deflationary periods, layoffs are more likely than normal. Because the contracted wages may be too expensive to pay or simply because there is insufficient demand. And having to make debt payments with no income is itself difficult, making those debt holders much worse off.



                                    Another way wages can fall is that hours might decrease. So your rate stays the same, but you get it for fewer hours, making your paycheck smaller.



                                    That's a problem with deflation. It makes some people effectively richer (same income but lower expenses), but it makes a lot of people effectively poorer. This is particularly bad for debt holders, as the loan price often doesn't decrease (variable rate mortgages are an example of an exception).



                                    If your source of income stays the same, then yes, it makes no difference to your debt (and lower consumption costs may leave you with more money to pay off the debt). But for many people, income does not stay the same. For those people, the debt becomes harder to service. So on average over all debt holders, the debt becomes harder to service.






                                    share|improve this answer









                                    $endgroup$



                                    Another reason it can hurt debtors is if the debt is secured, meaning that there is an asset held against paying the debt. If you want to sell the asset, you find that its price fell (deflation). So it may not cover the debt.



                                    A recent concrete example was in the United States (and other countries) in 2008. Housing prices fell. This left mortgages underwater, meaning that selling the house would not pay off the debt. People would lose the entire value of the house in foreclosure but still have left over debt.



                                    Beyond this, even with unsecured loans, you might want to sell off assets to pay debt. But in deflation, the assets themselves have lost value.



                                    It also may be difficult for wages to fall in deflation. But consider that wages falling can be better than the alternative: layoffs. A lower wage is often better than no wage. And in deflationary periods, layoffs are more likely than normal. Because the contracted wages may be too expensive to pay or simply because there is insufficient demand. And having to make debt payments with no income is itself difficult, making those debt holders much worse off.



                                    Another way wages can fall is that hours might decrease. So your rate stays the same, but you get it for fewer hours, making your paycheck smaller.



                                    That's a problem with deflation. It makes some people effectively richer (same income but lower expenses), but it makes a lot of people effectively poorer. This is particularly bad for debt holders, as the loan price often doesn't decrease (variable rate mortgages are an example of an exception).



                                    If your source of income stays the same, then yes, it makes no difference to your debt (and lower consumption costs may leave you with more money to pay off the debt). But for many people, income does not stay the same. For those people, the debt becomes harder to service. So on average over all debt holders, the debt becomes harder to service.







                                    share|improve this answer












                                    share|improve this answer



                                    share|improve this answer










                                    answered Apr 7 at 5:59









                                    BrythanBrythan

                                    1,054718




                                    1,054718




















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